Egypt: A Year after the Fall
Al-Jazeera’s perspective on Egypt’s one-year anniversary:
The evening of January 30, a year after the historic Egyptian revolution that took place January 25, the Word Affairs Council of Northern California hosted Steven Cook of the Council on Foreign Relations for a Meet the Speaker session and a talk on the historic moment Egypt is facing in its current precarious post-revolution situation.
Dr. Cook describes himself as a fulfillment of the American dream, simply a “guy who did well in language classes, got into a good college” to become the expert on Arab and Turkish politics he is today. As the Hasib J. Sabbagh Senior Fellow for Middle East Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, he describes his current job as essentially the non-student-related side of a professor—books, research, expertise—and, in place of classes, his students are the world through the eyes of the media in television, radio, and the web.
Dr. Cook was actually in Egypt for the first four days of the revolution and described the experience as simply “extraordinary”. It was a young generation aided by modern media and propelled by a unification of religious, economic, and ideological gulfs in a protest against authoritarian rule, and the revolution’s triumphs thus far are evident.
A year into its fitful transitional process after former president Hosni Mubarak’s ouster, Egypt is in “the most dangerous and most important phase in Egypt’s history” says the interim military leadership, and faces challenges that threaten to overshadow the initial purpose of the revolution. Indeed, Dr. Cook commented that one of the most serious questions is that of vision, or at least, a coherent one. I myself had a unique opportunity last year to experience firsthand the complex processes, delights and heartache that mark constitution-writing in a simulation on Nepal as part of a constituent assembly. The drafting process is wearying to say the least: everyone seeks to have interests represented, with incentives to delay and undermine as bargaining chips for power, yet at the same time no one wants the blame of stopping passage of a new constitution. Egypt’s deadline is this June and I will believe it a minor miracle if Egypt does manage to show the world a new constitution (one satisfactorily addressing accountability and legitimacy) by then.
When asked how the U.S. should react, Dr. Cook responded that the worst thing for the United States to do would be to intervene or attempt to manage the transitional process in any capacity. Even from a diplomatic perspective, Egypt had been the second-largest recipient of aid after Israel; intervention now may be a source for contempt in the future. Egyptians received no significant foreign help to instigate the revolution, and is unlikely to want for it now. It is, as Dr. Cook said, a purely Egyptian affair “without precedent”—we must now look to the Egyptian people for their future.
Interested readers can follow Steven Cook’s blog “From the Potomac to the Euphrates” and his Twitter feed.
–Katherine Hsu, San Mateo High School, World Affairs Council Student Ambassador